News Alert: Situational Awareness Report 21 August 2016 As of 1:30 pm
Posted: 8/21/2016 2:01:26 PM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center

Situational Awareness Report

21 August 2016

As of 1:30 pm

 

 

Tropical Weather Outlook: The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring three (3) tropical disturbances in the Atlantic, Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico region. Please stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center and your Local National Weather Service Office for the latest updates.

 Tropical Storm Fiona:  The center of Tropical Storm Fiona was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 53.3 West. Fiona is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Fiona could weaken to a tropical depression later today or tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

 

Disturbance 1: A tropical wave located about 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  The proximity of this system to dry air is expected to inhibit significant development during the next few days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development late this week when the system is expected to be near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent


Disturbance 2: Cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the far eastern Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a low pressure area and tropical wave. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves westward and then northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
 * Formation chance through 48 hours... high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

 

For more information on the Tropical Weather Outlook, visit:  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

 

GOHSEP Operations is monitoring the situation and will continue to update and report as needed.

 

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