News Alert: GOHSEP Tropical Outlook SITREP
Posted: 8/27/2016 11:02:52 AM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center
Situational Awareness Report
26 August 2016
As of 4:00 p.m.
 
Tropical Weather Outlook: The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring three tropical disturbances in the Atlantic, Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico regions. Please stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center and your Local National Weather Service Office for the latest updates.
 
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_0d0.png?262032
 Tropical Storm Gaston:  The center of Tropical Storm Gaston is located near latitude 26.2 North and longitude 49.7 West. Gaston is moving northwest around 17 miles per hour and is expected to continue in this direction at a slower rate of speed over the next two days. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 miles per hour with higher gusts. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles. Some strengthening is forecast during the next two days. Gaston is expected to regain hurricane intensity on Saturday[Image of 5-day forecast and coastal areas under a warning or a watch] Disturbance 1: A weak area of low pressure is located between the northeastern coast of Cuba and the central Bahamas. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased during the past few hours but remains disorganized and is located mainly to the east and southeast of the low.  Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development during the next day or so as the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 miles per hour.  Conditions could become a little more conducive for development early next week when the system approaches the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. ·  Chance of Formation Through 48 Hours: 30% (Low)·  Chance of Formation Through Five Days: 60% (Medium) http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_5d1.png Disturbance 2: Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is associated with a weak area of disturbed weather. Significant development of this system is not expected due to high surface pressures in the area. Regardless of tropical cyclone development, this disturbance could produce rainfall along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to southeastern Texas during the next couple of days.
 
·  Chance of Formation Through 48 Hours: 10% (Low)·  Chance of Formation Through Five Days: 10% (Low) 
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_5d2.png
 
For more information on the Tropical Weather Outlook, visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
GOHSEP Operations is monitoring the situation and will continue to update and report as needed.

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