News Alert: GOHSEP Tropical Weather Report 19 June 2017 As of 3:00 pm
Posted: 6/19/2017 3:29:11 PM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center

GOHSEP Tropical Weather Report

19 June 2017

As of 3:00 pm 

 

State EOC Activation Level: Crisis Action Team (CAT)

WebEOC Incident: 17-021 Tropical Disturbances – Statewide – June

 

Tropical Weather Outlook: The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring two (2) areas of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean regions. Please stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center and your Local National Weather Service Office for the latest updates.

 

Disturbance #1 (Red X): A broad are of low pressure extends from north of the Yucatan Peninsula across adjacent portions of southern Gulf of Mexico. This system is producing a large area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity well east and northeast of the low over much of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. While the system does not have a well-defined surface circulation, satellite winds data indicate  that tropical-storm-force winds are occurring in a band 100 to 150 miles northeast of the broad low. Upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for some additional development of this system during the next day or two while it moves northward to northwestward into the central Gulf of Mexico, and a tropical or sub-tropical cyclone is likely to form during that time. Regardless of development, interest along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system, as a tropical storm watch or warning could be needed for portions of this area later today.

Also, heavy rains are expected to continue over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, the Cayman Islands, western Cuba, the Florida Keys, the Florida Peninsula, and spread into central and eastern portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast during the next day or two.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon.

 

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…High...80 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days…High...80 percent.

 

Disturbance #2 (Red TWO)The disturbance was centered near latitude 8.8 North, longitude 57.8 West. The system is moving toward the west near 25 mph. A fast motion toward the west-northwest is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move through the Windward Islands and near the eastern coast of Venezuela tonight and early Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the disturbance is forecast to be a Tropical Storm when it moves through the above mentioned areas. Thunderstorm activity is continuing to show signs of organization and 2 to 4 inches of rainfall accumulation is expected. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb.

 

State Actions

GOHSEP

·       GOHSEP has activated their Crisis Action Team

·       A WebEOC Incident has been created for this event

·       Southeast and Southwest Hurricane Taskforce Conference Calls are ongoing

 

Department of Transportation and Development

·       Limited Activation

 

Department of Wildlife and Fisheries

·       Readying response equipment

 

Department of Agriculture and Forestry

·       Activated core team

 

Department of Children and Family Services

·       Communicating with vendors

·       Ensuring shelters are ready and set

·       Checking inventory

 

LA Workforce Commission

·       Contacting vendors

 

Parish Actions

Ascension

·       Inventory of sandbags

 

East Baton Rouge

·       Inventory of sandbags

 

Iberia

·       Sand and bags available to residents

·       Shelter teams on standby

 

Iberville

·       Inventory of sandbags

 

Lafourche

·       Processing Parish tier reentry applications

·       Maintaining sandbag inventory

·       Pumping down canals in preparation for large amounts of rainfall

 

Livingston

·       Sandbag distribution ongoing

 

St. John

·       Inventory of sandbags

·       Pumping canals

 

St Landry

·       Sandbag operations ongoing

 

St. Mary

·       Pre-staging sandbags

 

Tangipahoa

·       Pre-staging sandbags

 

Terrebonne

·       Closing some floodgates

·       Inventory of sandbags

 

Washington

·       Pre-staging sandbag locations

 

 

For more information on the Tropical Weather Outlook, visit:  

Activehttp://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

5 Day Outlook: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

 

GOHSEP Operations is monitoring the situation and will continue to update and report as needed.

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