News Alert: GOHSEP Special Weather Report 15 June 2015 As of 4:30 pm
Posted: 6/15/2015 4:51:59 PM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center
GOHSEP Special Weather Report
15 June 2015
As of 4:30 pm

State EOC Activation Level: Level III 
WebEOC Incident: “15-019 Invest 91L - Statewide, June 2015”



Situation:
The NWS/NHC is continuing to monitor Invest 91L, a low pressure system in the southern Gulf of Mexico. The following graphics show the location of this system and the area where it could potentially form into a tropical depression or storm.

Tropical Weather Outlook:
An Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated the broad area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico this morning, and found that the circulation was too poorly defined to qualify the system as a tropical cyclone.  However, thunderstorm activity continues to become better organized this afternoon, and the low will very likely become a tropical storm this afternoon or this evening as it continues moving to the northwest.

Maximum sustained winds with the low are estimated to be near 45 mph, and interests in and along the northwestern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this system.  Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, tropical storm conditions are likely along portions of the middle and upper Texas coast, and possible in extreme southwestern Louisiana, tonight and Tuesday. The system is also likely to bring heavy rainfall with possible flooding across portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana.  

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

Probability of tropical depression or storm formation:
Within two days — 90% (High)
Within five days — 90% (High)

Projected Local Impacts:
Brief periods of heavy rain increasing westward
Higher tides and winds in coastal and offshore waters

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