News Alert: Situational Awareness Report 8 March 2016 As of 10:00 am
Posted: 3/8/2016 10:43:07 AM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center

Situational Awareness Report

8 March 2016

As of 10:00 am


State EOC Activation Level: Level IV – Crisis Action Team

WebEOC Incident: 16-006 Severe Weather — Statewide — March 8-11, 2016


Situation:  A strong upper level storm system will bring showers and thunderstorms from west to east across most of the State this afternoon and persist through the remainder of the work week. Heavy rainfall, flash flooding, and damaging winds are the main threats associated with this front, however hail, river flooding and isolated tornadoes will also be possible. Total rainfall amounts of 3 to 10 inches is forecasted across the region with locally higher amounts possible. Please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service for the latest information.


North Louisiana:  Clusters of strong thunderstorms with very heavy rain is currently moving into central Texas will move into northeast Texas by around midday and will spread across northern Louisiana by late afternoon. Instability and strong sheer will combine to bring a threat of severe storms this afternoon and evening. Heavy rainfall could begin to be a problem as early as tonight with this first wave of storms. The threat for flash flooding will increase beginning Wednesday morning as the intensity of rainfall will increase in response to a completely saturated atmosphere, with both the heavy rain and severe weather threat shifting eastward to encompass all of north Louisiana Wednesday. Damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes will be possible with these storms; but again, the primary threat with this storm system will be flash flooding. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from 4:00 pm this afternoon through Thursday afternoon. Widespread rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with isolated higher amounts in excess of 10 inches will be possible through Saturday.


Southwest/Central Louisiana: A significant storm system approaching the area will bring the potential for flooding rains to portions of the area. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for this afternoon and tonight west of a line from Alexandria to Cameron. Additionally, strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible with damaging winds and isolated tornadoes. A long fetch  of southerlies over the Gulf waters will bring a threat for flooding along the immediate coast. A Coastal Flood Warning is in effect. A Wind Advisory in is effect for along and south of the Interstate 10 corridor for sustained winds up to 25 mph and gusts up to 35 mph. The aforementioned threats will continue area-wide into Thursday and possibly Friday.


Southeast Louisiana: A Large storm system will bring multiple bouts of heavy rain to the area during the mid and latter part of this week. The major concerns will begin with the heaviest rainfall expected to move into the area Wednesday through Friday. Overall widespread 4 to 6 inches of rain are anticipated with locally higher amounts approaching and possibly even exceeding 8 inches. Rainfall of this magnitude in a short time would result in flash flooding and rising rivers. A Marginal risk of severe thunderstorms will exists Wednesday and Thursday. These severe thunderstorms could produce damaging winds with the potential for isolated tornadoes and waterspouts. Strong thunderstorms will remain possible today through Friday and could produce wind speeds up to 40 mph. Small craft advisories will remain through Wednesday. As winds rise further, frequent gusts to gale force may require a Gale Watch Wednesday night and Thursday. A Coastal Flood Advisory has been issued as water levels are expected to be as much as 2 feet above normal at times of high tide. Flood watches may be posted later today or tonight. General times of greatest impacts will be early Wednesday morning and again from late Wednesday night through Thursday.

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GOHSEP Operations is monitoring the situation and will continue to update throughout the event.

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