News Alert: Situational Awareness Report 22 August 2016 As of 2:00 pm
Posted: 8/22/2016 2:46:20 PM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center


Situational Awareness Report

22 August 2016

As of 2:00 pm



Tropical Weather Outlook: The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring three (3) tropical disturbances in the Atlantic, Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico region. Please stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center and your Local National Weather Service Office for the latest updates.




Tropical Storm Fiona:  The center of Tropical Depression Fiona was located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 59.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h).  A continued west-northwestward motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is forecast later today and on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Fiona could become a remnant low during this time. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).




Disturbance 1: A tropical wave located about 750 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Nearby dry air is expected to slow development during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.  Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development late this week when the system is expected to move near Hispaniola and the southeastern and central Bahamas.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on Tuesday, if necessary.  Interests in the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent



Disturbance 2: A low pressure area associated with a tropical wave is centered about 300 miles southwest of the southern Cabo Verde Islands.  The associated showers and thunderstorms are well organized.  However, recent microwave satellite data suggests the system has not yet developed a well-defined circulation.  A tropical depression could form at any time tonight or on Tuesday as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent



For more information on the Tropical Weather Outlook, visit:


GOHSEP Operations is monitoring the situation and will continue to update and report as needed.


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