News Alert: GOHSEP DAILY OPERATIONAL REPORT 18 October 2011
Posted: 10/19/2011 3:31:19 PM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center
 

GOHSEP DAILY OPERATIONAL REPORT
18 October 2011
As of:  1445 Hours
STATE EOC ACTIVATION LEVEL: Level 4 (Normal operations)


1. TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE:

As of 1400 hours 18 October 2011, the NWS/NHC is reporting on the tropical features listed below.  These systems will not pose a threat to Louisiana

 

 The area of low pressure in the east-central Gulf of Mexico has become less defined during the last several hours. In addition, showers and thunderstorms remain displaced well to the east of the area of the lowest pressure. Development of this system is not expected and it has a low chance, near 0 (ZERO) percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected over the Florida Keys, the Florida peninsula, southern Georgia and coastal sections of the Carolinas over the next day or so.

 

There is a tropical wave is analyzed from 16N26W to 10N31W moving west at 12-17 mph.

 

There is a tropical wave is analyzed in the central tropical Atlantic from 13N43W to 7N45W moving west at 12 mph.

 

There is a tropical wave is analyzed in the east Caribbean along 67W/68W south of  17N moving at 12-17 mph

 

More information can be accessed from The National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

2. STATE WIDE EVENTS:

OUACHITA RIVER LOW WATER SITUATION

WebEOC Incident 036-11 Ouachita River Low Water Level – October 2011

 

Lower than normal rainfall amounts, compounded by a projection for continued lack of any significant rainfall, is causing low water levels along the Ouachita River in Northeast Louisiana. Due to this situation the potential impact on wildlife, river safety, and industrial/business operations is being planned for.  

 

GOHSEP will continue to host the Army Corp of Engineers Conference calls with the following Louisiana state agencies:   DEQ, DHH, LDWF, CPRA, DNR, DOTD, PSC, LANG, and LED

 

Army Corps of Engineers (ACOE) Vicksburg continues to consider drawing down from 65 to 64 feet.  The Environmental Assessment was distributed to all stake holders with all comments to be submitted back to ACOE by Close of Business on Tuesday 18 October, 2011.   A decision to deviate from the 65 foot mark will be made on Wednesday and discussed during the next call, Wednesday 19 October, 2011. 

 

 

STATEWIDE PARISH BURN BANS / DROUGHT 2011:

WebEOC Incident 010-11 Statewide Parish Burn Ban

 

Cease and Desist on Outdoor Burning:

Due to the extremely dry conditions in certain Parishes within the state, State Fire Marshal, H. Butch Browning and, Agriculture and Forestry Commissioner, Mike Strain have issued a cease and desist order for all private burning, pursuant to authority under R.S. 40:1563.  Private burning shall only be allowed by permission of the local fire department or local government.

 

This order was effective as of 0900 Hours, August 24, 2011, and shall remain in effect until rescinded for the following Louisiana parishes: Allen, Acadia, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Calcasieu, Caldwell, Cameron, Catahoula, Claiborne, Desoto, Evangeline, Grant, Jackson, Jefferson Davis, LaSalle, Lincoln, Natchitoches, Pointe Coupee, Ouachita, Rapides, Red River, Sabine, St. Landry, Union, Vermillion, Vernon, Webster and Winn

                                                    

The following parishes have a current Parish State of Emergency Declaration on file with GOHSEP:

Natchitoches

Bossier

Caddo

Sabine

 

The following parishes had Parish State of Emergency Declaration on file with GOHSEP for this incident:

Allen

Vermilion

 

National Weather Service Drought Assessment Graphic:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/drought_assessment.shtml

 

Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry Burn Ban Graphic:

http://www.ldaf.state.la.us/portal/Portals/0/FOR/publications/forest%20fire/laburnban.pdf

 

Agriculture and Forestry Commissioner Mike Stain, D.V.M., said the Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry has installed a new emergency hotline phone system to better serve the public.  “We are here to protect the consumer,” Strain said. “Remember; call the LDAF for any emergency involving agriculture, pesticides, and wildfire detection and suppression. The number is 1-855-452-5323.” This hotline will be manned 24 hours a day, seven days a week.

 

3. LOUISIANA WEATHER:

SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA: Today has a 20 percent chance of daytime showers becoming mostly clear at night.  Wednesday through Saturday is forecast to be sunny during the day and clear to mostly clear at night.

Temperatures: Today: 77/46, Wednesday: 72/42, Thursday: 73/47, Friday: 76/52, Saturday: 78/55.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER:  A strong cold front will move across the region today. Much drier and unseasonably cool conditions will occur behind the front along with strong and gusty northerly winds.

The following hazards will be in effect with this system: Wind advisory through tonight, with sustained winds around 20 mph with frequent higher gusts. High fire danger through Tuesday evening with a red flag warning for southeast Texas, as well as west central and southwest Louisiana, with very dry ground fuels, sustained 20 foot winds between 15 and 20 mph with frequent higher gusts and minimum relative humidity values between 25 and 35 percent. A fire weather watch will be in effect for east central and south central Louisiana, with very dry ground fuels, sustained 20 foot winds between 15 and 20 mph with frequent higher gusts and minimum relative humidity values between 40 and 45 percent.

 

Very dry conditions with strong and gusty northerly winds redeveloping on Wednesday will again bring a high fire danger with the possibility of red flag warnings for the entire area. Winds will decrease on Thursday with a gradual modification of the air mass through the weekend.

 

SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA: Today has a 30 percent chance of daytime thunderstorms becoming mostly cloudy and breezy at night.  Wednesday through Saturday is forecast to be sunny during the day and clear at night.

Temperatures: Today: 80/47, Wednesday: 67/43, Thursday: 69/43, Friday: 72/46, Saturday: 74/49.

Hazardous Weather:  A gale warning is in effect for the Gulf coastal waters and coastal lakes from 4 pm this afternoon through tonight. Strong northwest winds of 35 to 40 mph with frequent higher gusts will develop late this afternoon and evening in the wake of a strong cold front. Seas will build to 8 to 12 feet across the Gulf coastal waters. A wind advisory is in effect from 4 pm to 1 am for those areas of southeast Louisiana south of Lake Pontchartrain and Maurepas and across coastal areas. This wind advisory includes the New Orleans metro area. Sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 mph at times are expected to develop late this afternoon and evening in the wake of a strong cold front.

 

A gale warning will remain in effect for the Gulf coastal waters and the coastal lakes through mid morning Wednesday. A small craft advisory will then be in effect from late morning Wednesday until Wednesday evening. Northwest winds of 35 to 40 mph are possible early Wednesday and will ease to 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon.

  

CENTRAL LOUISIANA: Today has a 30 percent chance of daytime showers becoming mostly clear at night.  Wednesday through Saturday is forecast to be sunny during the day and clear to mostly clear at night.

Temperatures: Today: 73/42, Wednesday: 69/38, Thursday: 69/41, Friday: 74/45, Saturday: 76/51.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER:  A strong cold front will move across the region today. Much drier and unseasonably cool conditions will occur behind the front along with strong and gusty northerly winds.

The following hazards will be in effect with this system: Wind advisory through tonight, with sustained winds around 20 mph with frequent higher gusts. High fire danger through Tuesday evening with a red flag warning for southeast Texas, as well as west central and southwest Louisiana, with very dry ground fuels, sustained 20 foot winds between 15 and 20 mph with frequent higher gusts and minimum relative humidity values between 25 and 35 percent. A fire weather watch will be in effect for east central and south central Louisiana, with very dry ground fuels, sustained 20 foot winds between 15 and 20 mph with frequent higher gusts and minimum relative humidity values between 40 and 45 percent.

 

Very dry conditions with strong and gusty northerly winds redeveloping on Wednesday will again bring a high fire danger with the possibility of red flag warnings for the entire area. Winds will decrease on Thursday with a gradual modification of the air mass through the weekend.

 

NORTHERN LOUISIANA: Today will be mostly cloudy during the day and mostly clear at night. Wednesday, Thursday and Friday will be sunny during the day and clear to mostly clear in the evenings. Saturday is forecast to be mostly cloudy during the day with a 30percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.

Temperatures: Today: 92/60, Tuesday: 68/44, Wednesday: 70/39, Thursday: 67/42, Friday: 72/48.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER:  With rain moving out this morning behind a strong cold front, northwest winds will increase today, with sustained winds of 15 to 25 mph expected. Wind gusts will likely approach 35 mph at times today as well. Northwest winds will begin to taper off this evening.

 

Another breezy day is expected on Wednesday, but winds will diminish quickly Wednesday evening.

 

4. HAZMAT: None

5. FIRE: None

6. MEDICAL: None

7. NTAS (National Terrorist Advisory System): Currently there are no active alerts.

For more information go to following link; http://www.dhs.gov/files/programs/ntas.shtm.

8. CHEMICAL, BIOLOGICAL, RADIOLOGICAL, NUCLEAR, EXPLOSIVE: None

 

 

 

 

 

 

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