News Alert: GOHSEP Special Events Report
Posted: 9/17/2012 8:42:37 AM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center

As of 1930
hours 16 September 2012 NWS/NHC is tracking 3 systems in the
Atlantic-Caribbean-Gulf of Mexico basin. These systems are:


Invest 92
(Item 2 on the link below)

Invest 93
(Item 1 on the link below)

The link below
shows the latest position of these three systems

is projected to remain in the Atlantic and not impact Louisiana, the other two
systems bear monitoring.

Invest 93,
being the closest to Louisiana, is the one of most concern. Per NWS Slidell and
Lake Charles, this system is not expected to develop into a tropical cyclone.
However, it is expected to track northeastward and cross over southeast
Louisiana, bringing potential for heavy rains of (1-2 inches over the next 2
days with some localized amounts of 2-4 inches) and isolated severe
thunderstorms. Coastal winds of up to 15-20 mph can be expected with 10-15 mph
winds possible inland. Some areas south of I-10 could see gusts of 20-25 mph
Monday and early Tuesday. The timing for this system is Monday late morning
into Monday afternoon. The latest track models for Invest 93 are shown in the
link below.

Invest 92,
while still a ways out, also bears watching. While conditions are not favorable
for development at this time, they could become more favorable around Wednesday
or Thursday as it enters the western Caribbean. Actual track for this system
will depend on timing of a front projected to move down later this week. Based
on current data, any impact to Louisiana would not be until 24-25 September if
it were to track toward us, setting H-120 at Wednesday or Thursday of this
week.  The latest track models for Invest 92 are shown in the link below.

Operations will continue to monitor and report on any and all tropical weather
as needed.


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