News Alert: Situational Awareness Report 17 November 2015 As of 1:20 pm
Posted: 11/17/2015 2:36:23 PM
Louisiana Business Emergency Operations Center

Situational Awareness Report

17 November 2015

As of  1:20 pm


State EOC Activation Level: CAT (Crisis Action Team)

WebEOC Incident Name: “15-040 Severe Weather – Statewide – 17-18 November 2015”




Situation: The NWS Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a risk of severe thunderstorms capable of widespread damaging winds and a few tornadoes across parts of the southern U.S., from southern Missouri to the Gulf Coast. Please stay tuned to your local National Weather Service for the latest advisories, watches and warnings.


North Louisiana: A Tornado Watch is in effect for northwest and north central Louisiana until 4:00 pm this afternoon. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the entire four state region until midnight tonight. A line of strong to severe thunderstorms will move across the region today and tonight. Additional thunderstorms may develop ahead of the main line. These storms could pose and enhanced threat for severe weather especially across north central Louisiana. Any storms that become severe could produce damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes. In addition, 2 to 4 inches of rainfall are possible which could produce flash flooding.  


Southwest/Central Louisiana:  Strong to severe thunderstorms in the form of lines will be moving through the area today and tonight in advance of a cold front. A few tornados will also be possible. The Storm Prediction Center includes central Louisiana within an area for an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms. The remainder of the area is within a slight risk for severe thunderstorms lingering into the night. A Flood Watch has been issued and is in effect from this morning through late tonight. Expecting 2 to 3 inches of rain through tonight. A few locations could see up to 5 inches. A Winds Advisor and Coastal Flood Advisory is also in effect.


Southeast Louisiana:  A Tornado Watch has been issued for parts of east central Louisiana including the Baton Rouge Metro Area until 8:00 pm tonight. A vigorous storm system will impact today into Wednesday morning. Organized severe storms are anticipated and at this time there is a slight risk of severe storms this afternoon into early Wednesday for the entire area. At this time all modes of severe weather are possible as well as locally heavy rainfall. Scattered thunderstorms will likely start as early as this afternoon with a tornado threat. A squall line with damaging winds is expected to push across the outlook area late this evening through Wednesday morning. The high rainfall efficiency with this system will produce amount of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts across the outlook area. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for all of the area this afternoon through most of Wednesday morning. Strong southeast winds of 20 to 30 mph will cause problems this afternoon and tonight. A Wind Advisory has been issued for southeast Louisiana for this afternoon. In addition, a Coastal Flood Statement has been issued for most immediate coastal locations through most of Wednesday morning.

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