Weather Update August 21, 2023

It appears that what has now become known as TD Nine (will it be Harold?) has formed in the Gulf of Mexico.  Current forecast tracks have it strengthening to Tropical Storm force winds in the next 24-36 hours and making landfall in the Corpus Christi, Texas, vicinity.  Louisiana may only receive some much-needed rainfall along the coast associated with TD 9.



Figure 1 – Seven-day forecast as of August 21, 2023

As mentioned last week, as we near the high point of historical tropical activity (September 10), the tropics have now come alive.  As you can see from Figure 1 above, we now have five (5) areas to watch.  The quick summary as of August 21, 2023, is Franklin is likely to turn due north soon and impact Hispaniola, then pass between the continental US and Bermuda, then head out to sea.  Gert is likely to turn north as well and head into the northern Atlantic east of Bermuda.  Emily and the unnamed weather blob to the east are likely to follow Gert’s path into the northern Atlantic.  As always, please monitor official NOAA and NWS forecasts for decision-making purposes.