Tropical Depression Francine has moved well to the north and is ‘centered’ over northern Mississippi as of mid-afternoon Thursday.
The storm’s tropical rains and winds have long since exited Louisiana … winds continue to subside over the southeastern and east-central parishes with some breaks in the clouds through the afternoon.
The weather cooperates for the clean-up through the next 3 days, at least. It looks mainly dry through the weekend, with afternoon temperatures returning to the mid to upper 80°s for the next 3 days.
High water remains a problem for a number of communities with the lower sections of most Florida Parishes rivers in minor to moderate flood.
Why the heavier-than-expected rains? In part, due to a slower northeastward progression on Thursday evening, especially with the NHC-indicated jog to the east while the storm was passing through the tidal lakes area.
We can debate the track pattern over those hours given the broad, broken core … but the reduced advance to the northeast over those critical hours and the eastward nudge certainly added to the downpours on both the Northshore and Southshore.
While east was not along the expected line of motion of Francine, remember that that shift was still within the forecast cone. It’s just a reminder to focus on the cone … and not a point-to-point forecast line.
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