National Hurricane Center Forecasting Change

Good Morning, For those that do not closely follow the National Hurricane Center, they have made a significant change to their forecasting.  In previous years, all updates were based on a “five-day” model; this year, the alerts are based on a seven-day model.  Just in time for the 2023 season, we have our first notice.  … Continue reading National Hurricane Center Forecasting Change

Severe weather and heavy rains expected today and tomorrow


Sever Weather March 2, 2023

Louisiana faces an increased risk of severe weather and tornadic activity this evening and into the overnight hours.  Please make sure that you have ways to receive weather alerts overnight. The National Weather Service graphics for severe potential in your area.

NOAA: Flooding in the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley

Key Points: A multi-day heavy rainfall event is in progress from across the ArkLaTex region this morning. The threat of heavy rainfall leading to flash, urban, and small stream flooding will persist through at least Wednesday from central Texas into the Lower Mississippi River Valley. The Weather Prediction Center has included a Moderate Risk in … Continue reading NOAA: Flooding in the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley

Sea Level Rise Community Guide Tool

NOAA released a tool for community planners and decision makers to help plan for the significant sea level rise the United States expects in the next 30 years. The guide is a response to the Interagency Sea Level Rise report, which projected about a foot of higher waters, on average, along U.S. coastlines by 2050. That … Continue reading Sea Level Rise Community Guide Tool

Tropical Depression 9 | 5pm EDT Update

(See Graphic Attached)  

FRED and GRACE part two…

FRED and GRACE part two… Fred appears to have lost his way and his course is now sliding to the west.  Fred's visit to Caribbean island had a sever impact on his health, resulting in a more westerly circulation forming coming out of the Florida straight.  Current National Hurricane Center forecasts have Fred strengthening back … Continue reading FRED and GRACE part two…

Fred and Grace?

I thought it was Fred and Wilma not Fred and Grace, but the 2021 hurricane season brings us this unlikely couple. Fred continues across the northern Caribbean.  The interaction with mountainous regions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti have reduced Fred’s ability to strengthen.  The current forecast take Fred through the Florida straight Saturday morning … Continue reading Fred and Grace?

Fred makes an appearance

Overnight, Tropical Storm Fred makes his debut.  Fred currently has 40 mph winds and is traveling west northwest at 16 mph.  His current path takes him north of the Caribbean islands and into the Florida straight by Saturday morning.  If current forecasts remain accurate, then Fred will make landfall near Apalachicola Florida early in the … Continue reading Fred makes an appearance

Tropics are heating up

Two disturbances in the Atlantic have potential for further development over the next 5-days.  While there is no immediate threat to Louisiana, the potential is there in the next 7-10 days.  Everyone should remain vigilant and listen to guidance provide by your local emergency officials.  

Atlantic hurricane season shows no signs of slowing

August 4, 2021 NOAA GOES-East satellite image of Hurricane Elsa as it moves up Florida’s west coast on July 6, 2021. (NOAA) Download Image The 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is well underway, and atmospheric and oceanic conditions remain conducive for an above-average hurricane season, according to the annual mid-season update issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a … Continue reading Atlantic hurricane season shows no signs of slowing